A White Christmas???

December 20, 2009 · No Comments

Will we have a white Christmas?  This is something that I am asked through the entire month of December.  Here is a “scientific” answer to this question based on probability. 

The following maps and tables show the percent probabilities for a snow depth of at least 1 inch on Christmas morning, as well as the probabilities for a depth of at least 5 inches and 10 inches.  The Dataset for the period of 1961-1990 was used to compute these statistics.

***A white Christmas is defined by having at least 1″ of snow on the ground Christmas morning***

Probability of             1″            5″           10″
   CINCINNATI              11%              4%             0%
   CLEVELAND              50%            17%            0%
   COLUMBUS                 23%              0%            0%
   DAYTON                      27%              3%            0%
   FINDLAY                     41%              0%            0%
   MANSFIELD               47%              3%            0%
   TOLEDO                 57%         3%          0%
   YOUNGSTOWN         50%            10%           0%
   ZANESVILLE              21%               3%           0%

white xmas

NOTICE, ON ANY GIVE YEAR, TOLEDO HAS A 57% CHANCE OF A WHITE CHRISTMAS.  MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!

Categories: Chris' Stuff · Weather Data & Stats